What Is a Retracement in Forex?

Deliberate Practice in Forex

Many psychologists and historical analysts state that it takes 10,000 hours of deliberate practice to master a skill. Whether this is true or not - it is a fact that those who practice skills that are difficult within their area of passion that take them out of their comfort zone will ultimately succeed.
Deliberate practice at the basic level is taking one specific aspect of a skill and spending consistent time working at it. After that specific aspect has been bettered or even mastered to the best of your ability - move on to the next aspect. Now, the best way to begin is to write down the specific elements within your area of passion and then circle one specific aspect. Break down that one larger aspect into smaller parts and spend 100% of you studying time on those small details.
In forex, one can look back at their trading as a series of informed decisions that either end in a growth or a decrease in their trading account. Delving deeper into these trades can allow one to identify specific skills that if mastered - can improve all areas of the art.
An example for me in forex would first be spending my time just working on Fibonacci levels. I spent an hour a day, focusing on drawing Fib levels on 1H of the USDJPY/USDCAD/EURUSD. I began the improvement of this skill by watching videos of advanced traders and taking notes on what they said and drew. I then spent the next hour reading articles and taking notes. On the third day, I graduated to drawing and prediction of price movements. Eventually, after the second week I had worked on it (10 hours of deliberate practice on just Fibs) I began to notice price patterns that I had not seen before. I learned that the different magnitudes of retracement: usually .236 or .5 were the levels supported/resisted. Moreover, I learned that retracement usually had a candle close around the .5 level with a tail reaching towards the .618. This allowed me to begin to put buy/sell orders between the .5 and the .618 area and get some fantastic trades that had at least 2:1 RR.
Bottom Line: If you continue to do things that are comfortable for you and repeat the same habits - you will continue to get your previous results. If you commit to doing small things to the best of your ability, you can master anything.
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How to Develop a Profitable Bitcoin & Altcoins Daytrading Strategy - Fundamental & Technical Analysis - An Intermediate Tutorial

Abstracted from my blog post. Read the Full Post at: http://alunacrypto.blogspot.nl/2014/03/how-to-bitcoin-altcoins-daytrading-fundamental-technical-analysis-profitable-trading-strategy.html. Follow me on Twitter for my latest Bitcoin/Altcoin trading advice @onemanatatime (https://twitter.com/onemanatatime).
Fundamental Analysis
I believe that for an Altcoin to be worth anything at all, it MUST first have technical aspects which are built with the future in mind. This is what solely determines if a cryptocurrency has the potential for the mid to long term. Even with 5 new altcoins launching everyday, you barely see 1 a month that can last even the mid-term.
Then, after that I judge the coins based on 7 mediating factors; developers, community, branding/marketing, popularity/virality, novelty, infrastructure, and liquidity. For more about fundamental analysis and an explanation of these factors, read up on the first few sections in my previous post about picking and trading the next profitable altcoin. In this post, I will focus more on technical analysis and trading strategies instead.
With so many coins out there, I like to use these above factors to weed out all the weaker shitcoins, and focus on altcoins which are substantially different from others, and more importantly, provide more value than other cryptocurrencies. After which, I use Technical Analysis to judge entry/exit positions for trading them.
What else do you think makes a cryptocurrency fundamentally better than another, and more sustainable as a currency?
Technical Analysis
Many will probably agree when I say that the Altcoins market is akin to the "penny stocks" of cryptocurrencies. In this sense, most altcoin markets have much lower liquidity, but have much higher volatility. Since there are over 200 different cryptocurrency markets to date, I prefer to narrow down my list of altcoins to a small handful, and buy under-valued coins or trade the breakouts. You're going to find it really tough to be watching more than 5 altcoins at the same time, so I highly suggest keeping your list small, and adapt your watchlist to the fast changing markets.
If you're new to technical analysis, here's a really good beginner's video on daytrading Penny Stocks, which also explains the basics of chart reading and an introduction to basic trading jargon that I'll be using throughout this post. The important concepts to take note of are resistances & supports, breakouts that coincide with high volume, and the general idea that "what goes up must come down". See video here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HYK2a77TjvU
So after you get the basics sorted out, you should be ready to learn how to trade! I'm gonna break this intermediate technical analysis tutorial down into five main portions, and have compiled videos from other trading experts to give even beginners a better overall idea, and teach you all you need to know to devise your own Bitcoin & Altcoins trading strategy.
1. Top Down Analysis
Firstly, lets look at the top down analysis method of reading charts. I always begin by trying to understand the market from a bird eye's view. Compare both charts from a long term period (e.g. 1d) against one from a shorter period (e.g. 15m) to get a holistic view of the market. This will help give you a general perspective of market trends, while peaks & troughs give you an idea of market resistances & supports.
Use these basic resistance & support levels to judge entry/exit prices. In general, previous high and low points are new resistances or support depending on where the price is, and points where u can see big breakouts will be the new short term resistance/support. To get a better idea of what I mean, watch these videos by Jason Stapleton who explains top down analysis, resistances & supports, and structure.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M9yCc7lD21Q
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tJmMU-8yicM
2. Retracements
The concept of retracements is, in my opinion, the most important one that any trading enthusiast must grasp in order to understand how the markets flow. In essence, a retracement is a temporary price movement against the established trend, and helps us understand that the markets move in wave patterns as highlighted by the Elliott Wave Theory. One way to look at it, as highlighted by this video below, is that most price-actions follow a pullback rule to fibonacci retracement levels (38%, 50%, 62%).
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7VSWqM0jfIQ
The most important concept to take away from this is "what goes up must come down"; that price movements in one direction are always followed by retracements in the opposite direction. Of course, not all movements will follow the same pullbacks, and these levels should only be used as a guide. Here's another video: "Understanding Fibonacci retracement lines: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KzHjxPxGzMw".
So the question then is, how will we know if this counter-movement price action is a retracement or a reversal? There is no way to say for certain...
Read the full post on my blog at: http://alunacrypto.blogspot.nl/2014/03/how-to-bitcoin-altcoins-daytrading-fundamental-technical-analysis-profitable-trading-strategy.html.
3. Trading on Volume
Another important concept you need to understand is that large price movements almost always coincide with high trading volume.
With this in mind, this is where the liquidity of an altcoin also comes into play; the higher the trade volume of an altcoin, the lower the spreads, and the more likely you will be able to make some profitable trades from it. In general, the trade volume is a good indicator of, and is proportional to the popularity of the altcoin at the current time.
Apart from the actual trading volume itself, another good indicator is the change in volume over time; if you realize that the trading volume of an altcoin has been steadily increasing over the last few days, it could be an indication that a big price movement is coming up.
4. Breakout Patterns
The last concept I want to share is breakout patterns. Although most people are familiar with this concept, many do not know how to profit from them. This is one of the best tools to use for planning your entry positions, while there are various ways to do so, which are highlighted by these first two videos below:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6YZ4ORz-UJ0
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3gN-6D8nH0E
5. Advanced Trading Strategies
Now comes the fun part: how can we take all that we've learnt so far and put into good use for trading Bitcoin/Altcoins? Here are some pointers for you:
In the next videos, more advanced trading strategies and chart patterns will be shared. These strategies may seem very specific, but my goal is to give you better understanding of how these analysis tools are used, and to give you an idea of how different tools can be used to develop a single trading setup. The specifics are not important; what I hope to achieve is to open up your minds to new ideas, expand your trading knowledge, and ultimately encourage you to explore a diverse variety of trading strategies.
Read up more on some of the main ideas discussed:
Others
Read the full post on my blog at: http://alunacrypto.blogspot.nl/2014/03/how-to-bitcoin-altcoins-daytrading-fundamental-technical-analysis-profitable-trading-strategy.html. If you'd like to discuss any ideas or have burning questions, feel free to email me at alvinlee133(at)gmail.com or hit me up on twitter @onemanatatime.
P.S. If you're new here, make sure to check out my previous posts about Bitcoin & Altcoins daytrading: http://alunacrypto.blogspot.nl/2014/02/how-to-pick-trade-next-profitable-altcoin-bitcoin-daytrading.html http://alunacrypto.blogspot.nl/2014/01/beginners-guide-margin-trading-bitfinex-exchange.html http://alunacrypto.blogspot.nl/2014/01/embarking-on-my-bitcoin-trading-journey.html
P.P.S. If this post helped you, feel free to buy me a cup of coffee!
Cryptsy Trade Key: 9c1e289981a685bf0b8a4e48bc00b35eb1380afa
BTC: 16ka98tnhs9fAjWEXRmEWVrPfTEwmr9orV
LTC: LW4qr8aSfgTwGuU6uvEjnhNKRyJJR9iUbR
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Forex Basic - How To Draw Fibonacci Retracement on MT4 Mobile How To Draw Fibonacci Retracement In A Forex Downtrend How to Trade With Fibonacci Retracement  Step-By-Step ... Identify Profitable Forex Trade Setups with Fibonacci by ... Forex Trading: Fibonacci Retracement Techniques 👍 - YouTube Fibonacci Retracement Levels Trading Strategy - YouTube

In this video you will learn How to Trade "Fibonacci" Retracement Levels. For more videos Please visit: http://www.dollerexchange.com/learn-how-to-trade-fibonacci If ... Forex Videos · About. Contact Webmaster ... To draw Fibonacci retracement levels, go into your charting software and select the Fibonacci retracement tool. Select the most recent swing high (or swing low), and draw a line from one to the other. The Fibonacci levels will be automatically calculated and displayed for you. If you select more than one swing high and low and draw the levels twice ... Use the Fibonacci retracement tool of your trading software and place it on swing low. Extend this line up to the swing high. Since it is an uptrend, we started with a 100% level at the swing low and ended with 0% at the swing high. Step 4 – Wait for the price to hit the trend line between 38.2% and 61.8% Fibonacci levels. Learn how to draw and trade Fibonacci retracement levels using this simple yet very profitable fibs trading strategy. In technical analysis, Fibonacci retracement levels are created by taking two extreme points (usually a major high and low) on a chart and dividing the vertical distance by the key Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8% and 100%. Download this Forex Stock Trading By Fibonacci Retracement Golden Ratio Glow Trade Graph Animation video now. And search more of iStock's library of royalty-free stock video footage that features Architecture video available for quick and easy download. Monday, 15 May 2017. Forex Fibonacci Retracement Videos Fibonacci numbers, when applied in technical analysis through Fibonacci retracement and Fibonacci extension, are one of the most prolific techniques traders use to qualify or disqualify forex ...

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Forex Basic - How To Draw Fibonacci Retracement on MT4 Mobile

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